As illustrated by the image below, temperature anomalies are forecast to remain high over the Arctic Ocean, with the forecast for November 26, 2020, showing anomalies approaching 30°C. In 2020, Arctic warming is among the highest levels yet. Dr. Michael Mann is arguably one of the world's most respected climate scientists. Daily Mean Temperatures in the Arctic 1958 - 2020 Daily mean temperatures for the Arctic area north of the 80th northern parallel, plotted with daily climate values calculated from the period 1958-2002. "This warming increases the risk of extreme Arctic heat waves, such as this one, and moving forward over the next few decades," says Labe. November 21 came with temperatures 10-12°C higher than normal 30 years ago, according to the Climate Change Institute with the University of Maine. Arctic researchers Jacqueline Grebmeier and Lee Cooper have been visiting the Bering and Chukchi ... Late-season Arctic research cruise reveals warm ocean temperatures, active ecosystem (2020… Note the 5σ deviation in northwestern Siberia, would be a 1 in 100000 year event for a normal distribution of anomalies without climate change. In some warmer pockets - marked on the graphic as bright red areas, show how in recent days temperatures have climbed to more than 20C above averages recorded less than 30 years ago. In a press conference Tuesday, the head of science at Russia's Hydrometeorological Centre confirmed that the town of Verkhoyansk did indeed reach 100.4° F on June 20th. None of this comes as a surprise to climate scientists who have been sounding the alarms about the impacts of global warming for decades. June-2020 in Verkhoyansk...became the warmest in history.". Just days ago, Gavin Schmidt, the director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, corrected the reference by providing evidence that the rate of Arctic warming is actually three times faster. As the image on the right shows, temperature anomalies above 20°C were recorded over a large part of the Arctic Ocean on November 16, 2020. 2020 is shown in blue, 2019 in green, 2018 in orange, 2017 in brown, 2016 in purple, and 2012 in dashed red. The latest figures, from the University of Maine's Climate Reanalayzer, reveal that on 21 November, temperatures were 10-12C higher than normal 30 years ago, while for the entire Arctic, the heat was on average 6.7C higher than normal. The sea ice is refreezing back, but at a much slower rate than normal, meaning that some areas are severely falling behind. 'Very unusual': Arctic air set to hit Eastern US with record-low temperatures for May Published Wed, May 6 2020 1:59 PM EDT Updated Wed, May 6 2020 2:44 PM EDT Emma Newburger @emma_newburger In some instances, records may even be challenged. This effect is most pronounced with more warming., Zack Labe, a postdoc in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University and an expert on Arctic climate, told CBS News that while he is concerned by the recent heat, he is more unnerved by its staying power. It's clear that human-caused climate change plays a significant role in boosting the intensity of heat waves. The extended Siberian heat wave is due to an usually persistent high pressure system, which more or less has remained stuck over Russia since December. So far in 2020, three cities in South Florida, including Miami, have experienced 121 record warm temperatures and only one record cold reading. Scientists have warned that as areas of open ocean grow larger, the Sun’s energy is absorbed more, warming the ocean further, amplifying global heating, and inevitably altering the food webs upon which innumerable species depend to survive. Australia's Great Barrier Reef status lowered to "critical", 2020 on track to be one of the 3 warmest years on record, Tens of thousands without power as new fires erupt in California. Are you sure you want to delete this comment? You can find our Community Guidelines in full here. Therefore, one could infer that temperatures are warmer today than they have been since before that Ice Age began, about 120,000 years ago. Now that temperature record has been verified by Russia's state weather authority. That's 40+ degrees F above normal. That's 40 to 45 degrees above normal. The study used a variety of geological clues and statistical analysis methods to reconstruct ancient temperature estimates. 100.4 degree Arctic temperature record confirmed as study suggests Earth is warmest in at least 12,000 years By Jeff Berardelli July 1, 2020 / 12:11 PM / CBS News Arctic sea ice extent—the area where ice concentration is at least 15 percent—reached its apparent annual maximum on March 5, 2020. The atmospheric circulation was characterized by generally high pressure on the Eurasian side of the Arctic and low pressure on the North American side (Figure 2c). That would be a record for the highest temperature documented above the Arctic Circle. The rapid warming trend in the Arctic can be traced to the unique makeup of the Arctic Ocean, which is rapidly changing. Climate crisis: Arctic temperatures ‘break records’, ... “The median is 26 May, so we are almost two weeks early, which puts 2020 on rank 10 of the 40 years 1981-2020 we have data for. The existing Open Comments threads will continue to exist for those who do not subscribe to Independent Premium. Control the animation using the slide bar found beneath the weather map. Please be respectful when making a comment and adhere to our Community Guidelines. Jeff Berardelli is CBS News' meteorologist and climate specialist. In fact, Arctic sea ice extent is melting several weeks earlier than average in this region! Across Russia, temperatures from January to August were 3.7 C above average — 1.5 C … Over the coming week the core of the heat dome over Siberia is forecast to drift towards the North Pole, enhancing further melting. Arctic Siberia's record high temperatures a 'warning cry', EU warns Average temperatures in the region were more than five degrees Celsius above normal By Reuters News Agency 7 July 2020 • 9:05am The record heat in parts of Siberia during the month of May was so remarkable that it reached five standard deviations from normal. Start your Independent Premium subscription today. Arctic warming three times faster than rest of planet. The 1981 to 2010 median is in dark gray. The longer the heat dome lasts, the more it feeds back on itself, intensifying the heat wave. The Arctic's sweltering 2020 continues in earnest with temperatures last weekend reaching more than 5° (12°F) above the norm for the 1990s. People pictured in T-shirts near Ob river during World War II celebrations in Novosibirsk on May 9, 2020. Historically, the route could open for a handful of days only, though in some years it would not be open at all. Temperatures in the Arctic Circle are likely to have hit an all-time record on Saturday, reaching a scorching 38C (100F) ... Well, 2020 is certainly shaping up to be a contender. And in Norway, due to a stretch of unusual warmth well into the 80s, people are skiing on glaciers in bathing suits. 2020 Arctic MERRA-2 Temperature. For the period before modern thermometers, they relied on a variety of temperature estimates based on what scientists call proxy records — clues like fossils buried in sediments, such as shells and pollen, that reveal what climate conditions were like in the ancient past. Updated 10:45 AM ET, Mon June 22, 2020 . Our journalists will try to respond by joining the threads when they can to create a true meeting of independent Premium. It was the second-lowest Arctic sea ice extent on record, with 2012 the only year when there was less. In other words, if hypothetically you were able to live in that area for 100,000 years, statistically speaking you should only experience such an extreme period of temperatures one time. Since that high point 6,500 years ago, the record shows the globe was steadily cooling. "In response to the recent heat wave, the extent of Arctic sea has dropped like a rock in the Laptev Sea and the entire Siberian coastline. Wednesday 25 November 2020 14:54. The graph above shows Arctic sea ice extent as of June 1, 2020, along with daily ice extent data for four previous years and the record low year. Temperature anomalies in May 2020, expressed as standard deviations from the average 1981-2010 in the @CopernicusECMWF #ERA5 reanalysis. Wildfires and flooding . This year is shaping up to be among warmest years on record with extreme temperatures observed around the world, including the Arctic, says the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Feature | September 28, 2020 Warming Temperatures Are Driving Arctic Greening When Arctic tundra greens, undergoing increased plant growth, it can impact wildlife species, including reindeer and caribou. Temperatures above the Arctic Circle soared this month during a Siberian heat wave. Under Construction., The staggering pace of warming in the Arctic is causing systemic changes. Please continue to respect all commenters and create constructive debates. Norwegians are fully enjoying the warm weather , skiing in bathing suites near the Sognefjell Pass. The Arctic warming is getting a lot of attention this week, but I keep seeing references to the warming being twice as fast as the global mean, and that's not right. But that all changed abruptly in the past 150 years when, in that short time, humans have more than reversed thousands of years of cooling. Temperatures in the Siberian town Verkhoyansk reached a record 100.4 degrees [38 degrees Celsius] in June. "The upcoming pattern looks particularly hostile for areas closer to the central Arctic Ocean. Be in the know. Create a commenting name to join the debate, There are no Independent Premium comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts, There are no comments yet - be the first to add your thoughts. BRITAIN is facing the coldest Christmas for a decade as an Arctic blast rips through the country. He explained, "The 'handle' of the hockey stick just gets longer and longer with each new study and indeed there is a hint that current warmth now might be unprecedented since at least the last interglacial period more than a hundred thousand years ago. This has led to extensive efforts to study past climates in order to help put the current warming into context. In the Arctic, this impact is heightened due to a loss of ice and snow which typically reflects sunlight back to space. “2020 … Judge orders restoration of DACA, opens program to new applicants, COVID-19 becomes top killer in U.S. as hospitals fill up, What another stimulus deal could mean for jobless benefits, Newsom's stay-at-home order set to be triggered in Southern California, Trump border wall built on pristine land hurts animal migration, First subsurface asteroid samples delivered to Earth, CDC recommends "universal mask wearing" outside home, Watch Live: Trump attends first campaign rally since losing election, Sheriff's office slammed for "thugshot" Christmas tree decor, Wisconsin high court won't let Trump campaign bypass lower court, Mark Kelly sworn in as Democratic senator from Arizona, Georgia elections official rebukes Trump after threats to workers, Barr says Justice Department has no evidence of widespread fraud in election, Biden introduces economic team, telling Americans "help is on the way", Obama narrates new Jon Ossoff ad ahead of Georgia runoff, Climate extremes: Dust cloud & Arctic heat. Temperatures of 30 degrees Celsius reported above Arctic Circle Temperatures soared to 10 degrees Celsius above average in Siberia last month. Writing on Twitter, the Russian state weather authority said: "In Verkhoyansk from June 18 to June 28, 2020, the maximum temperature exceeded 86° F… with a peak on June 20 to 100.4°. The Arctic Weather Map below shows the weather forecast for the next 12 days. The decline in ice means more light is absorbed by the darker ground, spiking warming. The official confirmation was requested by the World Meteorological Organization. A Siberian heat wave in spring 2020 began this year’s Arctic sea ice melt season early, and with Arctic temperatures being 14 to 18 degrees Fahrenheit (8 to 10 degrees Celsius) warmer than average, the ice extent kept declining. Select from the other forecast maps (on the right) to view the temperature, cloud cover, wind and precipitation for this country on a large scale with animation. The team engaged in an extremely exhaustive process reconstructing a 12,000-year temperature record ending in 1950. There may be an additional impact from climate change. 0 … "I am still much more alarmed by the persistence of the record warmth — since December 2019, western Siberia temperatures have averaged nearly 9°F above average (1981-2010), which is quite astounding.". Climate action needs American leadership, U.N. chief says, California Privacy/Information We Collect. In central Canada, temperatures this week along the shores of Hudson Bay are maxing out in the 90s. Temperatures in an Arctic Siberian town hit 100 degrees, a new high. More information: Logan T. Berner et al, Summer warming explains widespread but not uniform greening in the Arctic tundra biome, Nature Communications (2020). As a result, this year the Northeast Passage - a shipping route along the Siberian coast - remained open for a record 112 days, beating the previous record by almost a month. But comparing 2012 and 2020, we can see that this year we are also setting a new record, as the Arctic sea ice is not recovering as expected. In 2020, “we saw new extreme temperatures on land, sea and especially in the Arctic,” said Taalas. It allows our most engaged readers to debate the big issues, share their own experiences, discuss real-world solutions, and more. Daily 2 m surface air temperature for the Arctic averaged above 80°N. By Stephen McDermott Tuesday 9 Jun 2020, 6:49 PM The Arctic has experienced its highest annual temperatures from 2016 to … The measurements are the average temperatures for 7.7 million square miles of the Arctic, which has already seen “crazy” high temperatures earlier this year. Reports that temperatures in a Russian town in the Arctic Circle likely reached a record 38C (100.4F), last weekend, have been approved by the World … 2020 was an exceptionally warm year in most of Russia, especially Siberia. 2020 Arctic Summer Seasonal Climate Outlook (along with a summary of 2020 Arctic Winter Season) CONTEXT Arctic temperatures continue to warm at more than twice the global mean. Labe is amazed by the impact. However, the study's lead author, Dr. Darrell Kaufman, a paleoclimate data specialist from Northern Arizona University, said the data is not precise enough to know for certain. The anomaly high temperatures this weekend are following a row of bad news this autumn. It's more like 3 times the global mean. ", First published on July 1, 2020 / 12:11 PM. [Data from @ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis] DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020 … The Arctic’s record-breaking year is continuing as temperatures in late November are reaching up to 12C higher than averages in the 1990s. In 2018 he published a study about a summer phenomenon he calls quasi-resonant amplification (QRA) in which atmospheric waves and jet streams tend to slow down or even get stuck, leading to a blocked pattern. Mann told CBS News that while there is no evidence available yet for this specific event, "It is consistent with the overall phenomenon of more persistent extremes as a result of a slower, more meandering jet stream.". As the Arctic warms up faster than the rest of the world, the temperature difference between the North Pole and the Equator narrows, making the jet stream wavier, thus enabling warm air over the Pacific Arctic to move more easily into the Arctic, as discussed in many earlier posts such as this one, which featured a forecast for March 31, 2019, with a temperature anomaly for the Arctic of 7.7°C or 13.86°F … Hottest Arctic temperature record probably set with 100-degree reading in Siberia. Climate change has now increased that chance. The cold plunge will be felt as early as Sunday night in the southern Plains. On March 24, the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) reported that the 2019–2020 growth season had an unexceptional finish: 5.81 million square miles (15.05 million square kilometers). Northeast of Svalbard, over Franz Josef Land and Severnaya Zemlya have also seen similar anomalous heat. The confirmation came the same day a comprehensive new study was released suggesting that present-day global temperatures are the warmest they have been in at least 12,000 years, and possibly far longer. Get the latest breaking news delivered straight to your inbox. 2020 Arctic sea ice minimum forecasts The record revealed that the warmest 200-year period before 1950 took place about 6,500 years ago, when global surface temperatures were approximately 1.25 degrees Fahrenheit above the baseline, which is the 19th century average. This new study shows that same effect is also apparent in both 2,000-year and 12,000-year time frames, as seen in the graphic  below. While it is still cold by human standards, with temperatures well below zero in many places, the size of the area affected by such an enormous surge in temperatures has alarmed scientists. A belt of warm air is currently stretching from northern Greenland across the North Pole to the Laptev and East Siberian Seas north of the Russian mainland, according to the Barents Observer. Ten days after that record was set, the heat wave still persists. This will contribute to the formation of melt ponds (water) overtop of the sea ice, which can accelerate declines in sea ice extent later in the summer," explains Labe. For decades, the Arctic has been warming much faster than the rest of the globe. The unseasonably warm weather comes despite the sun having already set on the Arctic for winter, and follows other record-breaking weather and unusual climate patterns. Ice that has broken off from the Eqip Sermia Glacier, also called the Eqi Glacier, drifts past shore during unseasonably warm weather on August 1, 2019 at Eqip Sermia, Greenland, about 350 km north of the Arctic Circle. It was the 11 th-lowest maximum in the 42-year satellite record. This new study by Kaufman validates work on past temperature reconstructions, like the now famous "hockey stick" graphic from Dr. Michael Mann, the director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State University. The most insightful comments on all subjects will be published daily in dedicated articles. Areas more than 20C higher than average are marked with bright red, {{#verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}} {{^verifyErrors}} {{message}} {{/verifyErrors}}, Alarm as Arctic temperatures for November soar well above average, University of Maine's Climate Reanalayzer, You may not agree with our views, or other users’, but please respond to them respectfully, Swearing, personal abuse, racism, sexism, homophobia and other discriminatory or inciteful language is not acceptable, Do not impersonate other users or reveal private information about third parties, We reserve the right to delete inappropriate posts and ban offending users without notification. Simply put, as average temperatures increase, extreme heat days become even more prominent. PSC daily progression and annual means The daily progression through 2020/2021 of the PSC area and volume statistics, comparing 2020/2021 to the climatology of all other seasons. 93 F right near the Arctic Ocean. Arctic Weather Map. Oklahoma City, Dallas and Houston are just a few cities that are expected to have temperatures lower than at any point so far this fall. Read our full mailing list consent terms here. Experts have frequently described that imbalance by saying that the Arctic is warming at twice the rate of the global average. Figure 2a. Individual years from 1958-2019 are shown by the sequential blue/purple … Copyright © 2020 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Climate crisis: Arctic temperatures for November soar well above average. Annual surface air temperatures over the last 4 years (2016–2019) in the Arctic (60°–85°N) have been the highest in the time series of observations for 1936-20191. © 2020 CBS Interactive Inc. All Rights Reserved. Arctic warming three times faster than rest of planet, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Quite the extreme event! October was the hottest on record for Europe, and came after a record-breaking heatwave in Siberia earlier this year, with the highest temperature ever known inside the Arctic Circle, recorded in June when 38C was recorded in the town of Verkhoyansk. For the entire Arctic, the heat was on average 6,7°C higher than normal. Temperatures in a Siberian town were reported to hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit on Saturday. The size of the area affected is almost twice the size of the entire United States. Harry Cockburn. Independent Premium Comments can be posted by members of our membership scheme, Independent Premium. Credit: Logan Berner/Northern Arizona University Severe wildfires burning 8 times more area in western U.S. Temperatures were 1 to 3 degrees Celsius (2 to 5 degrees Fahrenheit) below average in the East Siberian Sea region (Figure 2b). But that is no longer accurate. Now global temperatures have risen about 2 degrees Fahrenheit above that baseline, leading to the conclusion that Earth is currently warmer than that warm period 6,500 years ago. Today it's the 9th day with Tmax over 30C in central Norway so far. In most areas, temperatures will be at their lowest values since last winter. Want an ad-free experience?Subscribe to Independent Premium. You can also choose to be emailed when someone replies to your comment. The Arctic saw a record low for sea ice coverage in October, and even by mid-November many areas had barely begun to refreeze, leaving vast tracts of open water. And while it's not uncommon for patterns to set up shop for extended periods of time due to natural cycles, this tenacity is extraordinary, to say the least. Due to the sheer scale of this comment community, we are not able to give each post the same level of attention, but we have preserved this area in the interests of open debate.

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